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Don't Buy Gold Stocks for NOW PDF Print E-mail
Written by Ric Conzet   
Friday, 24 October 2008 07:28

The bulls are scared the market may violate the lows of October 10. The bears are afraid of another sudden snapback rally. Corporations fear a global recession will wipe out their bottom lines. And consumers are scared they won't have any purchasing power this coming Christmas. 

Bond buyers fear the potential for default. Bond-rating services are afraid their internal e-mails will be read aloud before a Senate subcommittee.

 According to a recent Investor's Business Daily poll, 42% of the voting population is afraid Barack Obama will be elected president... and 46% fear it will be John McCain. The remaining 12% is scared of both.



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What Investors and Traders Should Do! PDF Print E-mail
Written by Ric Conzet   
Friday, 17 October 2008 06:18
The stock market is long overdue for an oversold bounce – a quick rally that catches everyone by surprise, forces cash-heavy investors to chase stock prices higher, and inflects massive amounts of pain on greedy short sellers who held on to positions for too long...
It wouldn't surprise me at all to see the Dow rally 1,000 points, and the S&P 500 could explode 150-points higher. It could happen in a matter of days.
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Baby Boomers Will Turn to Bonds PDF Print E-mail
Written by Johan Ramakers Ph.D.   
Wednesday, 15 October 2008 08:34

I found the following story in my emails yesterday. If you purchased $1,000 of shares in Delta Airlines one year ago, you will have  $49.00 today. If you had purchased $1,000 of shares in AIG one year ago, you will have $33.00 left today. If you had purchased $1,000of shares in Lehman Brothers one year ago, you will have $0.00 today. But, if you had purchased $1,000 worth of beer one year ago, drank all the beer, then turned in the aluminum cans for recycling refund, you will have received a  $214.00. Based on  the above, the best current investment plan is to drink heavily and recycle.  It is called the 401-Keg. Now I do not know if the number match up, but the story got me thinking about security of long term asset management and as so often when things get really bad in the market, you have to look back 20 years or so and figure out what went wrong, what is salvageable and what type of security you need as a baby boomer retiring or on the verge of retiring. It will help you put things in perspective and not to panic.

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An Important Stock Tip PDF Print E-mail
Written by Ric Conzet   
Tuesday, 14 October 2008 08:54
OK folks, even with yesterday's rally, you have to be aware that all stocks are down and there are some very interesting opportunities surfacing for those of you that handle your own portfolios.  Coal Stocks.  The average American consumes around 20 pounds of coal a day. Yes you! It’s mainly used for electricity. It produces about half of the sum we use.
 
From the prices that the major coal stocks are trading for you would think we have stopped using it.  The credit crunch has taken down almost every other sector…. now it’s energy and specifically coal.  The companies we are talking about have share prices that have fallen about 60% in the last few months.  Much of this is due to hedge funds liquidating every thing they have to give money to their fleeing investors.
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Stay Where You Are and Don't Move a Muscle....for now PDF Print E-mail
Written by Ric Conzet   
Friday, 03 October 2008 07:42

Here we go…The Markets!. We are sitting this one out kids.  Unless you are a Series 9 I’m asking you to not do a thing until we’ve seen the market’s manic highs and lows go away.

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The Changing of the Financial Landscape PDF Print E-mail
Written by Ric Conzet   
Tuesday, 30 September 2008 08:13
From Dow Jones and Co.
Six months from now, the U.S. will have a new president, a new Super Bowl champion and a vastly different financial services landscape on Wall Street. But even after yesterday’s stunning rejection of a $700-billion bailout by the House of Representatives, it’s hard to believe the banking sector in particular will undergo the breadth and depth of dramatic changes it has already experienced in the previous six months. From the Fed’s bailout of Bear Stearns, to the stunning collapses of Lehman Brothers and Merrill Lynch and last week’s disintegration of Washington Mutual (WM), the biggest failure in U.S. banking history, investors have witnessed some cataclysmic events.
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Last Week's Winners and Losers PDF Print E-mail
Written by Ric Conzet   
Sunday, 28 September 2008 08:13
 
Why You Want to Go into Commodities NOW! PDF Print E-mail
Written by Ric Conzet   
Saturday, 27 September 2008 07:15

“The driving force: As the new giant economies of the world accelerate, competition for the planet's most critical natural resources is intense and mounting.
This competition is impacting oil, uranium, gold, silver, copper, steel, timber and more.
It's pitting the U.S. against Russia, India against China, and China against Japan.
And it's creating a massive, dramatic, sometimes earth-shattering groundswell of demand.

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Investments: How to Benefit from the coming Gold Rush-Part 1 PDF Print E-mail
Written by Ric Conzet   
Wednesday, 24 September 2008 08:33

As you already know, we are in the early stages of a currency crisis and a total crisis of confidence.  What do people that maintain their wealth and expand it do, during periods like this?  They take positions in GOLD.  You should always hold some Gold.
A Boom in gold is just getting warmed up.  It could easily rocket to $2,000 an ounce in the next year.

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Trading Blog: Mr. Market and Gold PDF Print E-mail
Written by Ric Conzet   
Monday, 22 September 2008 09:09

So far, only one major asset class has escaped Mr. Market's correction: bonds. U.S. Treasury bonds have gone up (meaning, yields have gone down) as investors sought the safety of what used to be, and should be, the surest credit on earth. But bonds depend on not only on the ability of the issuer to repay…but also the value of the money in which they are calibrated. And if that money starts to sink in value, bonds take a hit.

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Trading Tip PDF Print E-mail
Written by Ric Conzet   
Friday, 19 September 2008 08:04
gold

The trading Gods have been very generous to us and have given us a $67 per share short.  It time to enjoy the profits and close the trade

Congrats to all savvy traders.
 
Gold has had a historic rise in the last two days.  I would wait for a pull back and take a few positions in GLD. We are already in the Gold Stocks ETF  GDX.
 

 

 
US Economy: The Best House in a Bad Neighborhood PDF Print E-mail
Written by Dick Brener   
Thursday, 18 September 2008 08:46
slowdown
The Slowdown is GLOBAL. One of the companies under attack today was Morgan Stanley.  Please understand that the US has caused the world’s economic slowdown.  Dick Brener is one of the top minds on economics in the world. He happens to be with Morgan Stanley, Wall Street tried to take down Morgan ( MS ) today. I feel his thoughts are the benchmark of where all serious people with power in the economics of the world need to considering  These are some of his thoughts.
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Trader's Blog: Rethinking Your Strategies PDF Print E-mail
Written by Ric Conzet   
Sunday, 14 September 2008 10:25

More Fannie and Freddie fallout. The Treasury's bailout is labeled a "conservatorship," but it's treated as a bankruptcy in the market for credit protection insurance, or credit default swaps (CDSs). One London banker estimates $200 billion to $500 billion of Fannie/Freddie CDSs are outstanding. That makes the Fannie/Freddie debacle many times larger than the next largest CDS default, which was auto-parts maker Delphi, which had $25 billion of CDSs outstanding in 2005. At a loss rate of 10%, insurers and banks could be on the hook for as much as $50 billion of Fannie/Freddie CDS losses. AIG and Washington Mutual's upcoming shake out come to mind.

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